In our previous research article, we suggested policy solutions for the recovery period that were consistent with our overarching goal: increasing happiness and wellbeing in society in a sustainable and equal way. We think that this should be the main goal of governments in developed countries. However in order for this to be the main goal we need to be able to measure and track our progress against this goal. Fortunately, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has been doing this in the United Kingdom since 2011. This means we have a highly valuable yardstick with which to measure how the UK is progressing. Huge amounts of attention have been paid to the financial impacts of COVID-19 and although they have been significant, this information only tells us part of the story. It is important to measure progress on a wider range of variables. All these variables should feed through to the overarching goal of sustainably and equally increasing wellbeing.
Our research article includes four main takeaways:
The initial impact of the pandemic on life satisfaction in the UK
The initial impact of the pandemic on wellbeing was large. Even though it may not look like it, the decline life satisfaction scores shown in the chart to the right is large. Since 2011, the lowest quarterly life satisfaction score, on average, was 7.35 (the highest was 7.71 in 2018). These weekly scores were produced by the ONS during the pandemic to gauge an understanding of how the pandemic was influencing citizens wellbeing. The average life satisfaction score across these high frequency surveys is 7.00, which is 0.65 lower than in Q1 2020, almost double the range since the inception of this measure (range is 0.36). A note of caution is that the sample of these weekly surveys is much smaller than the quarterly surveys (approx. 1,500 vs. 30,000)
Assessing how wellbeing is likely to change in the future is useful for informing policymakers. In the research article we provided an illustrative example of how wellbeing may change going forward based on forecasts of financial variables and known historical relationships between these variables and life satisfaction. It is highly useful for policymakers to be aware of how wellbeing is likely to change in the future in response to both policies and market dynamics. Policies could then be tweaked accordingly in order to support citizens wellbeing.
Non-financial indicators are likely to have had a larger influence on wellbeing than financial indicators. By combining the data from the chart above with our forecast of how life satisfaction is likely to change in response to changes in financial variables, we were able to conclude that non-financial indicators (e.g. mental/physical health, trust in government, personal relationships) played a larger role in the recent decline in life satisfaction than financial variables (e.g. income or employment).
Wellbeing inequality is likely to increase as a result of the pandemic. Data suggests that those on lower incomes are likely to have a larger financial hit as a result of the pandemic than those on higher incomes (with the majority of those on higher incomes actually able to increase their savings this year). It is also well known that changes in income matter more for life satisfaction at lower incomes. Therefore, we should expect that the distribution of life satisfaction will widen as a result of the pandemic, meaning wellbeing inequality has increased. This should be a key concern for policymakers.
Please click on the link below to read about this in more detail. Comments are welcome.